Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 9.267975 10.238819 11.278874 12.477746 13.823778 15.290877 17.014362
2025-10-05 7.871953 9.241412 10.813113 12.758199 15.111458 17.879893 21.403036
2025-10-12 6.883630 8.498696 10.462084 13.043060 16.373691 20.563572 26.291333
2025-10-19 6.042640 7.781275 9.999776 13.070250 17.259996 22.850166 30.996623
2025-10-26 5.339779 7.126753 9.503336 12.942489 17.870356 24.797732 35.490914
2025-11-02 4.763954 6.558796 9.033633 12.758411 18.332997 26.546870 39.910072
2025-11-09 4.282077 6.058854 8.588334 12.531225 18.668392 28.106965 44.225104
2025-11-16 3.897053 5.652184 8.224428 12.364827 19.047268 29.743229 48.862856
2025-11-23 3.591946 5.329889 7.946307 12.285884 19.532604 31.579738 54.079793
2025-11-30 3.408877 5.172787 7.899529 12.558563 20.608504 34.512441 61.667662
2025-12-07 3.168545 4.902396 7.645144 12.455234 21.020047 36.325311 67.443652
2025-12-14 2.919167 4.595257 7.301701 12.160429 21.050248 37.435964 72.004444
2025-12-21 2.722741 4.363482 7.070072 12.049352 21.424103 39.280259 78.468965
2025-12-28 2.633822 4.304056 7.124362 12.454174 22.811581 43.274979 90.229815
2026-01-04 2.541501 4.230546 7.146557 12.800657 24.128236 47.317998 102.903505
2026-01-11 2.413655 4.084120 7.025577 12.861851 24.880231 50.291795 113.694153
2026-01-18 2.273473 3.904475 6.828454 12.753375 25.266429 52.526744 123.136977
2026-01-25 2.137446 3.721973 6.610630 12.580629 25.492944 54.432985 132.131830
2026-02-01 2.007479 3.541129 6.381273 12.361056 25.589468 56.050194 140.697621
2026-02-08 1.895519 3.386047 6.189025 12.199185 25.793989 57.949873 150.442951
2026-02-15 1.802393 3.260224 6.043887 12.122407 26.182554 60.353149 162.155280
2026-02-22 1.753945 3.217007 6.058585 12.391443 27.412946 65.058495 181.807457
2026-03-01 1.670112 3.098565 5.912206 12.289917 27.738684 67.466711 194.937441